ACCURACY IN THE PRODUCTION PLANNING OF THE CEMENT QUANTITY IN THE STATE COMPANY FOR CEMENT –TEST STUDY FOR THE FORECASTING METHODS BY USING ERRORS CRITERIA
DIYALA JOURNAL OF ENGINEERING SCIENCES,
2014, Volume 7, Issue 1, Pages 39-59
AbstractPlanning the cement industry is important process because the cement is the major material in all building & industrial projects, many studies are prepared for improvement & advancement this industry
In this research, researcher study the cement production planning by test three forecasting quantitative methods; this test done by using the win QSB Software & Excel programming to predict the future quantity of cement to period 2015 & analyzing the forecasting results to measures the method accuracy by using errors criteria (MSE, MAPE, MAD) to choose forecasting method that give min. errors to depends on in planning of the cement production quantity. The results show that the best method to forecast the cement production quantity as follow; moving average for Fallujah & alkiam factory, in the weight moving average for kabesa factory, exponential for Kirkuk factory.
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